Date: 6 months ago   Category: Financial

Analysts have given the currency forecast for fall


By winter dollar exchange rate can grow to 30 hryvnias, some experts allow. In an early autumn the hryvnia can become stronger a little. In September hryvnia exchange rate can be stabilized, however by November the dollar can strike through for the first time since 2015 the level in 30 UAH. The League which has collected forecasts of analysts reports about it. So, the chief of sales of treasury products of OTP of Bank Yury Krokhmal says that in September currency revenue of landowners will begin to come into the country. It can strengthen hryvnia exchange rate partly. "Along with it it is necessary to consider that importers also will enter an active season, and the NBU will use each opportunity for replenishment of reserves. Therefore it isn't necessary to count on strong decrease in quotations", - Krokhmal notes. At the same time analysts note what can soften pressure upon hryvnia exchange rate from global trends rhetoric of the leadership of the USA which declared harm of strong dollar to local economy recently, the head of analytical division of ICU Alexander Valchishen says. Also can influence a situation positively the decision of National Bank on the second in a row increase in discount rate which will be announced on September 6, the head of department of dealing operations of Pivdenny bank Oleg Ropyak adds. In OTP Bank are guided by wide course range in 27 – 28,8 UAH/$ in September. In the Credit Dnieper bank predicts 27,5 – 28,5 on condition of lack of political and economic shocks. Ropyak from Pivdenny bank considers realistic the range of 28 - 29 UAH/$. In the senior analyst of Forex Club Andrey Shevchishin – on stabilization of a course in the range of 27,75-28,5 UAH/$ At par is guided by 29 UAH/$ by the end of September. The director of the department of the market researches IBI-Rating Victor Shulik gives the least optimistical forecast. According to him, by November the dollar can strike through for the first time since 2015 the level in 30 UAH. "We don't know yet what will be the decision of the IMF and in what temporary period. What is sounded by authorized bodies of the country – no more than the assumptions or wishes", - the expert says. At the same time in the NBU expect that in the end of the year hryvnia exchange rate to dollar has to be 28,5 hryvnias. We will note, on Monday, September 3, on Mezhbank dollar exchange rate on sale has grown by 19 kopeks - up to 28,43 UAH/dollars, buying rate has also grown by 19 kopeks and was 28,39 UAH/dollars. News from the Correspondent.netv of Telegram. Subscribe for our https://t.me/korrespondentnet channel

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